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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today.

Based on the last 12 GDP Growth Rate QoQ 1st Est events in France, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 30 Jul 05:30 if the released value is < 0.3%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jul 05:30
28 Apr 05:30
28 Oct 05:30
29 Jul 05:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 90% chance.

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