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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 19 Jul 14:00 if the released value is > 98.5. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 May 14:00
15 Feb 15:00
09 Nov 15:00
14 Sep 14:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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