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We expect CC to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect CC to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect CC to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 07 Aug 12:30 if the released value is < 1600K. A price movement of 4,650 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

03 Apr 12:30
10 Jan 13:30
04 Oct 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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