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We expect a 60 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a 60 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 09:30 UTC. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 09:30 UTC if the released value is > 21.3K

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jul 08:30
14 May 08:30
16 Apr 08:30
19 Mar 09:20
19 Feb 09:30
11 Dec 09:30
13 Nov 09:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $166.186 movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 12 Nov 10:00.

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We expect LB to trend upwards for the next 48 hours.

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