There is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending downwards

Based on past Canada GDP Growth Rate Annualized news events there is a 80% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 3%. A price movement of 4 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Dec 13:30
31 Aug 12:30
31 May 12:30
02 Mar 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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