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There is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending downwards

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 75% chance of USDCAD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 0.1%. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Apr 12:30
11 Mar 12:30
15 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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