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There is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards

Based on past Euro Area Industrial Production YoY news events there is a 75% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -2.5%. A price movement of 17 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

12 Sep 09:00
14 Aug 09:00
13 Feb 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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A final push expected on USD/CHF as it starts approaching a price line of 0.9951.

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We expect BO to trend downwards today with a 75% chance.

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