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There is a 75% chance of FV trending upwards

Based on past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 75% chance of FV trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 3000K. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Jan 13:30
04 Oct 12:30
06 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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