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There is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

Based on past United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY news events there is a 75% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is = 2%. A price movement of 9 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Jan 09:30
19 Dec 09:30
15 Aug 08:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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There is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards

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