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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today.

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 11 Jul 12:30 if the released value is < 1685K. A price movement of 12 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jun 12:30
06 Jun 12:30
30 May 12:30
16 May 12:30
18 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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After testing 0.6721 numerous times, NZD/USD is once again approaching this price point. Can we expect a bullish trend to follow?

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We expect a $200 movement on EURUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 11 Jul 12:30.

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