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We expect a 50 pip movement on ZN within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect a 50 pip movement on ZN within 48 hours following the event release at 13 Dec 13:30 UTC. We expect ZN to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 13 Dec 13:30 UTC if the released value is > 0.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Nov 13:30
16 Jul 12:30
18 Apr 12:30
11 Mar 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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